The August Extent Loss Oscillation: 2016 Update

Back in 2014 I suggested that there may be an oscillation of extent loss. According to the supposed oscillation this year should have seen a large loss in August, this didn't happen.

June 2016 Status

I have set aside consideration of how to decouple my savings and investments from the British economy and return to sea ice for the first time in about 2 weeks. What I see reflects the conclusions in my previous post, there is very little chance of a new record this year.

No Early Warning of a 2016 Crash

Last May I put forward an early warning indicator for late summer sea ice crashes. What is the state of that indicator like this year?

Peripheral Seas State: Mid June

What is the current state of sea ice in the Peripheral Seas of the Arctic Ocean?

Why should interannual variability increase as Arctic Sea ice thins?

I've tried various ways of looking at interannual variability of sea ice, but haven't found a strong signal of recent increase. Yet I remained convinced that a signal of increased interannual variability should increase. Why?

PIOMAS May Volume Loss

Now that the PIOMAS main series of total volume is out I can look at what that shows about the May volume loss. This being the first part of the overall spring volume loss.

May 2016 Status

The data is now in, so here's a look at May and prospects for the coming summer.