tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1367053740188758246.post6637307892894195378..comments2023-06-21T00:39:34.443-07:00Comments on Dosbat: UK H2OChris Reynoldshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16843133350978717556noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1367053740188758246.post-7894879587529185432015-07-17T22:28:10.525-07:002015-07-17T22:28:10.525-07:00If the 'suspicion' about a link to AGW is ...If the 'suspicion' about a link to AGW is correct, and the recent behaviour in the context the series since 1910 suggests something odd is happening in recent decades. Then what seems to be going on is not an easy AGW relationship but a modulation of a mode such as AMOC (of which I was not aware - thanks) or the NAO.Chris Reynoldshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16843133350978717556noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1367053740188758246.post-7950795597011164702015-07-16T22:00:19.319-07:002015-07-16T22:00:19.319-07:00Yes, UK annual rainfall is correlated to AGW/time,...Yes, UK annual rainfall is correlated to AGW/time, but the stronger correlation is to +AMOC and -NAO. This correlation is fairly weak other than in the summer, but remains apparent in the annual data. Just look at all those drought years during the AMOC minimum in the 70s.<br /><br />Rainfall in the Midwest and Plains of the US hasn't gotten back to normal yet. Rainfall in <a href="https://climateillinois.wordpress.com/2015/07/01/wettest-june-on-record-for-illinois-2/" rel="nofollow">Illinois in June</a> set a new record by 15%. The Mississippi confluence with the Ohio has been <a href="http://155.76.244.230/offices/ed/edh/plots/Cairoplot.png" rel="nofollow">setting daily records</a> for three weeks straight now, by up to around 30% above the previous daily record high flow.Blainenoreply@blogger.com