tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1367053740188758246.post4688250526702744675..comments2023-06-21T00:39:34.443-07:00Comments on Dosbat: Mid Summer 2015 Status Chris Reynoldshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16843133350978717556noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1367053740188758246.post-64115219807013824552015-07-25T11:14:02.843-07:002015-07-25T11:14:02.843-07:00Anonymous,
Thanks the area graph in question is ...Anonymous, <br /><br />Thanks the area graph in question is corrected.<br /><br />I didn't include PIOMAS because the emergence of a dipole followed the June PIOMAS data. However it might have been better to address it.<br /><br />The dipole pattern shown in the past has been the dominant feature of the atmosphere through most of July.Chris Reynoldshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16843133350978717556noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1367053740188758246.post-74967904726534120892015-07-25T06:43:26.492-07:002015-07-25T06:43:26.492-07:00The regional extent and area graphs are identical-...The regional extent and area graphs are identical--something you might want to check.<br /><br />I'm surprised that a blogger known for PIOMAS data assessment has omitted posting the details of the June data dump and doesn't mention it in the recap of the progress of the summer melt season. The expected rate of change to the area and extent is dependent on the ice age and thickness.<br /><br />Transport is a large factor in the expected melt and, I expect, likely the critical driver. But, the dominance of the transpolar drift relative to the Beaufort Gyre must be persistent over an extended time frame and two weeks in July is simply not enough time to move the ice pack the long distances necessary to flush the MYI into the Atlantic. The daily wind plots don't show a persistent Dipole, yet. For now the Gyre remains strong and the ice is accumulating in that region. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1367053740188758246.post-41799430537675390262015-07-23T22:37:42.722-07:002015-07-23T22:37:42.722-07:00George,
Well, I might be a little spooked by 2013...George,<br /><br />Well, I might be a little spooked by 2013 and 2014. I'm still prepared for more summers like those, but remain open minded.Chris Reynoldshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16843133350978717556noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1367053740188758246.post-7919806298364969552015-07-23T17:57:03.508-07:002015-07-23T17:57:03.508-07:00Don't believe the AMO shift hypothesis. The am...Don't believe the AMO shift hypothesis. The amount of heat transported northwards out of the tropical north Atlantic according to AOML has increased over the past 5 years. That may lessen north Atlantic hurricane activity but there is not evidence there is going to be a decline in heat transport to the Arctic. -George aka FishOutofWatergeorge_formerly_of _the junglehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09027633538614975778noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1367053740188758246.post-77444315421955474242015-07-23T14:36:11.923-07:002015-07-23T14:36:11.923-07:00This comment has been removed by the author.Nightvidhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03320916322586904305noreply@blogger.com